According to a statement by analyst Mac Mackenzie, global demand for PET bottles is rising. The statement also speculates that by 2030, the demand for rPET in Europe will increase 6 times.
Pieterjan Van Uytvanck, chief analyst at Wood Mackenzie, said: "The consumption of PET bottles is increasing. As our statement on the EU disposable plastics directive shows, in Europe, the annual consumption per person is now about 140. In the US it is 290 ... A healthy life is an important driving force. In short, people are more willing to choose a bottle of water than a soda. "
Despite the demonization of plastics worldwide, the trend found in this statement still exists. Wood Mackenzie acknowledges that plastic pollution is an important issue, and disposable plastic water bottles have become a powerful symbol of the sustainable development debate center.
However, Wood MacKenzie found that the consumption of PET bottles was not reduced due to environmental problems, but the addition was completed. The company also speculated that the demand for rPET will be significantly increased.
Van Uytvanck explained: "In 2018, 19.7 million tons of food and beverage PET bottles were produced nationwide, including 845,000 tons of food and beverage bottles recovered by machinery. By 2029, we estimate that this number will reach 30.4 million tons, of which more than 300 Ten thousand tons were recovered by machinery.
"The demand for rPET is increasing. The EU directive includes a policy that from 2025, all PET beverage bottles will be included in the 25% recovery content, and will be added to 30% from 2030. Coca-Cola, Danone and Pepsi) etc. Leading brands are calling for a 50% utilization rate of rPET in their bottles by 2030. We estimate that by 2030, the demand for rPET in Europe will increase sixfold. "
The statement found that sustainability is not just about replacing one packaging method with another. Van Uytvanck said: "There is no simple answer to the debate about plastic bottles, and each solution has its own challenges."
He warned, "Paper or cards generally have a polymer coating, which is difficult to recycle. The glass is heavy and the transportation power is low. Bioplastics have been criticized for transferring plowed land from food crops to the environment. . Will customers pay for more environmentally friendly and more expensive alternatives to bottled water? "
Can aluminum become a competitor to replace PET bottles? Van Uytvanckk believes that the cost and weight of this material is still prohibitive. According to Wood Mackenzie's analysis, aluminum prices are currently around US $ 1750-1800 per ton. The 330 ml jar weighs about 16 grams. The cost of polyester for PET is about 1000-1200 US dollars per ton, the weight of a PET water bottle is about 8-10 grams, and the capacity is 500 ml.
At the same time, the company's data shows that, in the next ten years, except for a small number of emerging markets in Southeast Asia, the consumption of aluminum beverage packaging has shown a downward trend.
Van Uytvanck concluded: "Plastic materials do cost less and go further. On a per liter basis, the distribution cost of beverages will be lower and the power required for transportation will be less. If the product is water, not value For higher drinks, the cost impact will be magnified. The rated cost is generally pushed along the value chain to customers. Customers who are sensitive to prices may not be able to bear the price increase, so the brand owner may be forced to bear the rated cost. "
Post time: May-09-2020